Home · Insights · Somalia
Somalia Graduated Its Largest Army Class Since 1991 With Saudi Money. Weeks Later, Hundreds of Those Soldiers Turned Up Detained Across the Border in Ethiopia.
Somali National Army recruits who completed a Saudi Arabia-funded training programme at the Xananbuure camp in Galmudug on 16 August began crossing into Ethiopia's Somali Regional State in early September, where regional forces detained an estimated 180 to 900 of them in and around Jigjiga. Mogadishu's National Security Adviser has called it authorised home leave; no government has said where the soldiers are now, and unverified reports claim some graduates were bound for Sudan's civil war.
FIKIR Institute · 16 September 2026 · 9 min read

Audio reading is ready.
Abstract: Somalia held a pass-out ceremony on 16 August 2026 at the Xananbuure training camp in Galmudug's Galguduud region for roughly 3,000 recruits, the largest single cohort trained on Somali soil since the central government's 1991 collapse, under a programme funded by Saudi Arabia pursuant to a defence cooperation agreement signed in Riyadh on 9 February 2026 by Somali Defence Minister Ahmed Moalim Fiqi and Saudi Defence Minister Khalid bin Salman. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud presided over the ceremony alongside Saudi military representatives, telling the graduates "our time has come, it is time for us to assume responsibility." Within three weeks, a group of those graduates crossed the border from Somalia into Ethiopia's Somali Regional State, and by mid-September, Ethiopian regional security forces had detained an unspecified number of them in and around the city of Jigjiga; estimates reported across Somali, Ethiopian and Kenyan outlets range from roughly 180 to as many as 900. Somalia's National Security Adviser, Aways Haji Yusuf, publicly confirmed the crossing, saying the soldiers had been granted authorised leave to visit their families after completing training and had taken the Ethiopian route because Al-Shabaab controlled the more direct roads inside Somalia, and that the federal government was aware of their movement. As of this writing, no government, not Ethiopia's federal authorities, its Somali Regional State administration, nor Somalia's own federal government, has said publicly where the detained soldiers are being held, on what legal basis, or when they might be released. The episode has also revived unverified claims, circulating since at least July, that the wider Saudi-funded programme, which multiple outlets report was expanded to cover up to 5,000 recruits, was intended in part to prepare graduates for deployment alongside Sudan's army in that country's civil war; no independent evidence has confirmed that any soldier detained at Jigjiga was travelling toward Sudan, and Somalia's account of authorised home leave remains, for now, unrebutted by direct evidence to the contrary.
A ceremony built to signal rebirth
The 16 August graduation at Xananbuure was staged as a statement of national recovery. Roughly 3,000 conscripts, drawn from across Somalia's federal member states, completed close to a year of instruction in basic tactics, military discipline, law and weapons handling at camps in Galmudug's Galguduud region, under a programme multiple outlets report was funded by Saudi Arabia and delivered by foreign instructors variously identified as coming from Romania, Ukraine, South Africa and Colombia, or, in some accounts, Romania, Ukraine and Sudan. Senior federal and regional officials attended the pass-out parade alongside Saudi military representatives who held a supervisory role in the programme, and President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud told the assembled graduates that Somalia's moment to take charge of its own security had arrived. The scale was the headline: outlets covering the event, including The Defense Post and Hiiraan Online, described it as the largest cohort trained inside Somalia since the state's collapse in 1991, a milestone framed as evidence that the Somali National Army, after three and a half decades of dependence on African Union and bilateral forces, was rebuilding a domestically generated force capable of eventually standing on its own.
The programme behind the parade
The training traces to a defence and military cooperation agreement Somalia's then defence minister, Ahmed Moalim Fiqi, and Saudi Arabia's defence minister, Khalid bin Salman, signed in Riyadh on 9 February 2026, under which Riyadh committed to fund training for what was initially reported as up to 5,000 Somali recruits over roughly nine months at bases in Galmudug. Hiiraan Online and Garowe Online reported through the spring and summer that the programme's financing, instructor rosters and intended force structure had not been fully disclosed by either government, and the Horn Review's own August assessment of what it called the "Galmudug training programme" noted that Riyadh's growing role sat inside a wider pattern of Gulf states, the UAE in Somaliland's Berbera and Puntland's Bosaso, Qatar and Turkey elsewhere in Somalia, each building bilateral security relationships with Somali federal member states that answer only loosely, if at all, to Mogadishu's own defence ministry. What the programme's graduates would ultimately be used for, whether absorbed into the federal army's regular order of battle, retained as a Galmudug-aligned force, or something else, was left unaddressed at the August ceremony itself.
From graduation to detention in three weeks
The first indications that graduates of the programme had crossed into Ethiopia surfaced in early September, and by the week of 8 September, Somali, Ethiopian and Kenyan outlets were reporting that Ethiopian regional security forces in the Somali Regional State had detained a group of them in and around Jigjiga. The reported numbers have not converged: some accounts put the figure at roughly 180 to 300, while others, including reporting picked up by allAfrica and Modern Diplomacy, cited estimates as high as 900. Eastleigh Voice reported the men had been "captured" after crossing the border, a characterisation Somalia's government has not endorsed. Somalia's National Security Adviser, Aways Haji Yusuf, confirmed publicly that the soldiers had indeed crossed into Ethiopia's Somali Regional State, and offered an explanation consistent with routine post-graduation leave: the men had been granted authorised time off to visit their families after completing their training, and had taken the route through Ethiopia rather than Somalia's own roads because Al-Shabaab controlled the more direct paths home, a logistical reality any Somali soldier travelling from a central Somalia training camp toward Jubaland, Southwest State or elsewhere would plausibly face. Yusuf said the federal government was aware of the soldiers' movement across the border. Neither Ethiopia's federal government, the Somali Regional State's administration, nor Somalia's own federal government has since said publicly where the detained men are being held, whether they remain in custody, or on what basis Ethiopian forces detained soldiers whose home government describes their presence as authorised and expected.
The Sudan question no one has answered
The detentions revived a separate and so far unverified line of reporting, tracked since at least July by the Horn of Africa-focused account Voice of Horn and picked up by Watchdog Uganda, EU Reporter and The Standard's Kenya desk, alleging that the wider Saudi-funded programme, or some portion of its graduates, was intended to eventually supply forces to fight alongside Sudan's army, the Sudanese Armed Forces, in its ongoing civil war against the Rapid Support Forces. That allegation, if accurate, would sit on the opposite side of Sudan's war from the network FIKIR Institute has separately reported on: a UN Fact-Finding Mission report published 3 September found reasonable grounds to believe a transnational network routed weapons, foreign fighters and logistics to the RSF through Bosaso in Puntland, tied to entities linked to the United Arab Emirates. A Saudi-funded pipeline feeding the Sudanese Armed Forces through Galmudug, if it exists, would mean Somali territory hosting recruitment or training infrastructure serving both sides of the same foreign war, through two different federal member states, financed by two different Gulf patrons. No outlet reviewed for this article, however, has produced direct evidence that any specific soldier detained at Jigjiga was travelling toward Sudan rather than toward his own family, and Somalia's account of authorised leave has not been rebutted by any government with a basis to know otherwise. The claim remains, as of this writing, unverified rather than disproven.
Two governments, and the questions neither has answered
What makes the episode notable is less any single confirmed fact than the density of unanswered questions surrounding a security programme two governments jointly built but have not fully explained. Somalia and Saudi Arabia have not published the February defence agreement's full terms, leaving public reporting to establish the recruit numbers, funding scale and instructor rosters through fragments rather than an official accounting. Somalia's own explanation for the Jigjiga crossing, that graduates were on authorised leave and chose an Ethiopian route around Al-Shabaab-held roads, is plausible on its face and consistent with Somalia's actual security geography, but it does not explain why Ethiopian forces then detained men whose movement its own federal government describes as expected, nor has Addis Ababa offered its own account of why detention rather than transit was the outcome. Ethiopia's silence is its own signal: a government that believed several hundred armed, foreign-trained soldiers had crossed its border under legitimate cover would ordinarily say so quickly, and continued silence a week into the story leaves room for a harder read: that Addis Ababa either doubts Mogadishu's account or has its own reasons, related to the still-unresolved tension over Ethiopian access to a Somali or Somaliland coastline, for wanting a batch of federally trained Somali soldiers to answer questions before crossing back.
What to watch
Three signals will show where this goes next. First, whether Ethiopia or Somalia's federal government issues a substantive account of where the detained soldiers are, how many there actually are, and when they will be released or returned, since continued silence on a matter both governments have had more than a week to clarify will itself become the story. Second, whether any independent evidence, from flight manifests, satellite imagery, or on-the-record testimony, emerges to confirm or refute the claim that graduates of the Saudi-funded programme were bound for Sudan, a claim that currently rests entirely on unverified reporting rather than documentation. Third, whether Riyadh or Mogadishu responds to renewed scrutiny of the February agreement by releasing further detail about the programme's scale, financing and intended force structure, given that a programme built to demonstrate Somalia's growing self-sufficiency has instead become, within a month of its showcase graduation, a source of exactly the opacity Somali military reconstruction was supposed to be moving away from.
Policy implications
For Somalia's federal government, a flagship army-building programme becoming entangled, within weeks of its graduation ceremony, in an unexplained cross-border detention and unverified Sudan allegations undercuts the message of growing self-reliance the Xananbuure ceremony was designed to send, and Mogadishu's continued silence about the detained soldiers' current status compounds rather than resolves the problem. For Ethiopia, detaining Somali soldiers without public explanation, while Addis Ababa's own long-running pursuit of Red Sea access keeps its relationship with Mogadishu, Hargeisa and the wider Horn in a state of managed tension, risks reading as leverage rather than routine border enforcement unless a fuller account follows soon. For Saudi Arabia, a security investment intended to build quiet influence over Somalia's military reconstruction, following the pattern already set by the UAE in Berbera and Bosaso and Turkey and Qatar elsewhere in the country, now carries early reputational risk from a programme whose graduates cannot be accounted for a month after graduating, a poor advertisement for Gulf-funded security assistance regardless of whether the Sudan allegations prove true. For Galmudug and Somalia's other federal member states, a national training programme run out of a single regional state's territory, funded by a single external patron, and now at the centre of an international incident neither Mogadishu nor Galmudug fully controls, is a preview of how federal member state-hosted security infrastructure can generate diplomatic liabilities that outrun any one state's capacity to manage them alone.
Related Analysis
- A Think Tank Warned Ethiopia and Eritrea Are 'Perilously Close' to All-Out War. Its Own Analysis Says That War Would Pull In Sudan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
- Ethiopia's Federal Government Just Appointed Five Men to Run Tigray by Decree. The Peace Deal That Ended the Last War Said Tigrayans Were Supposed to Help Choose Them.
- Somalia's Defence Minister Says His Forces Removed 260 Armed Men From Opposition Leaders' Homes. The Armoured Vehicles Ringing Those Homes Were Still There Three Days Later.
- The UN Security Council Has Met on Ethiopia and Eritrea Twice in Two Weeks. Three Days After Eritrea Invoked Chapter VII, It Still Hasn't Said a Public Word.